One Thing Changes All Else

One Thing Changes All Else
Posted on February 12, 2014 | Mike Nickerson | Written on February 12, 2014
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From ancient times, right up to living memory, humans have been a small, insignificant presence on the Earth.  Not so any more.  Today, civilization's impacts are felt practically everywhere.  This change affects everything – in our human experience the Earth has gone from offering endless new frontiers to where our activity is able to overwhelm it.  It is critical that we acknowledge this change.  Many of our customs and institutions, developed when the Earth seemed limitless, aggravate the serious problems arising as we bump into planetary limits.

"The growth ideology is extremely attractive politically because it offers a solution to poverty without requiring the moral disciplines of sharing and population control."
 - Herman Daly, former economist with the World Bank and coauthor of: For the Common Good; Redirecting the Economy Toward Community, the Environment, and a Sustainable Future

As recently as the 1950s, humans consumed less than a third of what the Earth offers.  Since then, economic activity has doubled and doubled again.  Some say our present level of activity is only possible due to diminishing reserves of fossil fuels.*  Others argue that we are doing fine; we just need to find ways to keep growing.  

How impressive would human impacts be if we continue with what is traditionally considered "healthy" economic growth?  A growth rate of around 3% is considered healthy, though not great by pre-2008 standards.  At 3% growth, activity doubles in 24 years.  Think of any children you know.  Within their anticipated lifetimes, conventional economics would require human activity to double, quadruple and grow on to nearly eight times its present size.  Would those children thank us for leading them down such a path?

If an adult grew like a four-year-old, they would be in grave danger.  It made some sense for civilization to grow, as long as there seemed to be vast frontiers to grow into.  Now that we are exploiting practically every frontier, do we not owe it to the children to usher in a mature stage for civilization?

When we admit that humankind's relationship to the Earth has changed and plan our actions accordingly, we can have a well-fed, comfortably-housed, educated and healthy population, all while reducing pollution and our consumption of natural resources.  Even so, most of the world's leaders continue to promote child-like economic growth.
What we need is to cut back on projects that consume energy and other natural resources and to spend into areas where knowledge and creativity are the primary inputs.  The cut-backs would minimize confrontation with planetary limits while the spending would move society into realms that are truly limitless.  If only today's economists could see this, instead of arguing about whether consumption would best be encouraged by cutting or increase government spending, as if the only possible goal is growth everlasting.
Food provides a good example.  When produced by human effort, rather than by machines and chemicals, more food can be grown per acre and the nutritional quality is better.  Such production also provides employment and can improve the soil.  Compared to industrial agriculture which requires ever more energy, mined fertilizer and manufactured chemicals, localized community-scale agriculture increases well-being while reducing resource consumption and pollution.

Other examples can be found in education and health care.  Education is practically free in terms of natural resources and waste.  Teachers can share everything they know and will be no poorer.  Indeed, they often learn more themselves as they teach.  Similarly health care, when aiming to increase well-being and reduce disease, is mostly knowledge and good will.  Add to this buildings designed and renovated with lots of insulation and south-facing windows, and we can have increased comfort with reduced energy consumption.

Food, education, health care and housing can all be provided with greatly reduced environmental impacts, and that is before actually acting like grown-ups and doing our best to make things last, rather than to become garbage, or shifting from materialism to the appreciation of living.

Having grown to fill our planet does not mean that humanity has run out of options.  It means that, as a species, we have grown up.  As in our individual lives, when we reach mature size, adult development is in the realms of knowledge, skills, relationships and the enjoyment of life.  By shifting from resource-intense activities to ones based on knowledge and skills, we can secure long-term well-being.  We don't have to grow until we drop!

Long-term well-being requires broad recognition of our changed relationship with the Earth.  Tell someone about it; the children will thank you.

A sign to watch for

The fundamental change in our relationship with the Earth is clearly evident when one watches the role of fossil fuels.  Up until the "Oil Shock" of early 1970s, whenever we needed more energy all we had to do was pump faster.  The price increase from that initial shock increased the flow of money out of communities, and over the next decade deficits and debt became big problems.

While ignoring accumulating debt, the path of Growth was followed with some success until 2008, when it became difficult to pump oil out of the ground as fast as the expanding global economy wanted to burn it.  The price was bid up from under $30 a barrel at the beginning of the century to $147 in 2008, causing everything involving energy to become more expensive.  Interest rates were increased to fight the resulting inflation - increased interest charges made many loans, sub-prime mortgages in particular, unpayable - widespread defaulting on mortgages flooded the housing market with foreclosed homes - housing prices dropped - vast amounts of the credit money that had been used to purchase those homes disappeared and down went the global economy.  

This basic lesson is repeated again and again.  When economic activity slumps, the price of energy goes down and conventional activity is stimulated.  As the economy improves, the underlying problem, of diminishing fossil energy supplies and the greater price of substitutes, drives the price back up.  Communities everywhere, except those producing energy, are drained of cash causing the system to falter again.  Watch for this cycle and you will see society bouncing against one of our planet's limits.

When you see it, don't keep it to yourself.


About The Author

MikeNickerson's picture

In 1971, Mike Nickerson founded the Institute for the Study of Cultural Evolution to look into how change takes place in societies. The study focused on the problems and solutions that motivated voluntary and non-... More


Tess Frost

Although I agree with the main thrust of your argument - that the Earth cannot sustain human economic growth at its current rate, and in fact I believe we have been borrowing on future reserves for a while now as we have not been giving the ecosystems time to regenerate resources, I don't understand how you are suggesting the alternative would work.
For instance, when you say "Teachers can share everything they know and will be no poorer. Indeed, they often learn more themselves as they teach." It take a lot out of a person to teach. They have lost no material wealth, but they have given a lot in terms of energy, effort and time. They still need somehow to get enough to sustain themselves in return for the effort, since they are unlikely to have sufficient time or energy to teach AND subsistence farm AND have time to restore themselves or whatever. Simply learning something in return is not enough.
"Similarly health care, when aiming to increase well-being and reduce disease, is mostly knowledge and good will." Again, this is overly simplistic - medication, time and effort, and the often heavy physical and extreme emotional input required are not trivial contributions to the common good, though more so when practiced as you suggest - preventively - than as it is practiced today, it still won't be a breeze. Diagnosis, sick care, geriatric care, trauma remediation and operations take a huge amount of skill, time, and equipment. The skill and knowledge is not gained easily - the person taking time and effort taken to do that has to be supported, and also has to have some return on practicing medicine for the common good.
Teachers and medical practitioners could not be expected to be out there contributing these vital services while the rest of us choose whether or not we give any of our time or effort back to them. How we give how much back has to be addressed.
"Add to this buildings designed and renovated with lots of insulation and south-facing windows, and we can have increased comfort with reduced energy consumption." This is again grossly oversimplified, and does not take into account the huge amount of existing infrastructure - which must either be cleared away (because much is not renovatable) or upgraded, though certainly new building aught to be regulated to be as wasteless as possible.
I am NOT trying to shoot you down, I agree very strongly that the current economic model is heading us on a fast-track to disaster. But support for change is not gained by suggesting over-simplistic alternatives.
I agree with you, that: "By shifting from resource-intense activities to ones based on knowledge and skills, we can secure long-term well-being." I believe too that we need to learn to value life, not goods, to value each other and experiences, to not judge ourselves and others by how much we have and control. We need to change our priorities, from inessentials, such as oils and minerals gained at all costs, to clean air, earth and water, open spaces, instead of losing them to material wealth, thereby losing the health to enjoy them, and irreparably damaging our world.

Thank you for an interesting article